How much revenue did Second Wave make?

Second Wave is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Second Wave sell?

Q: How many copies did Second Wave sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 204 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; from 204 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Second Wave and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Second Wave's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 208k–482k

best case 702k (NEKOPARA Vol. 2)

Games like Second Wave

A typical game among these

≈ 208k–482k copies

≈ $645k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: NEKOPARA Vol. 2 at ≈ 535k–870k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share MOBA (5 of 8) and FPS (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Anime + Sexual Content, priced around $10.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 535k–870k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeSexual Content
Battleborn 2016	Est. copies ≈ 404k–657k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	10k reviews Mixed	Hero ShooterFPS
AirMech 2018	Est. copies ≈ 330k–537k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
Story of White Stone State 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut	$5.99	57 reviews Mostly Negative	IndieRPG
Bishojo Mangekyo Kotowari to Meikyu no Shojo 2021	Est. copies ≈ 73k–119k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $605k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSSexual Content
Gigantic 2017	Est. copies ≈ 254k–413k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
Tanki Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 243k–395k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayTanks
AXYOS 2018	Est. copies ≈ 69k–112k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $95k–$254k after Steam's cut $172k–$391k before Steam's cut	$4.99	2k reviews Mixed	Hero ShooterFPS