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wishvane

How many copies did Balatro sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
$19.3M–$51.9M after Steam's cut $35.1M–$79.9M before the cut
from 195k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Balatro out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Balatro's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 298k–2.6M
best case 8.2M (Slay the Spire)

All 4 of your similar games are hits. A healthy genre for a game like yours.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 298k–2.6M copies
≈ $1.2M–$25.5M after Steam's cut
from ~17k reviews
Best case
≈ 6.2M–10.1M copies
Slay the Spire · ≈ $42.8M–$115.2M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Deckbuilding (4 of 4) and Rogue-like (4 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
The era
Only 1 of your 4 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.1M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$42.8M–$115.2M after Steam's cut $77.9M–$177.2M before the cut
$24.99
216k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 604k–982k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.2M before the cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Dungeons & Degenerate Gamblers
2024
Est. copies
≈ 82k–134k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$339k–$911k after Steam's cut $616k–$1.4M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Luck be a Landlord
2023
Est. copies
≈ 276k–448k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$758k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before the cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.