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How many copies did How to Survive sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 958k–1.6M
$3.9M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.3M before Steam's cut
from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid How to Survive and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including How to Survive's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.4M–10.5M
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like How to Survive

A typical game among these

≈ 3.4M–10.5M copies

≈ $31.9M–$141.2M after Steam's cut

from ~110k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Survival (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Project Zomboid
2013
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
483k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Green Hell
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.4M–$54.8M after Steam's cut $37.0M–$84.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
103k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
SCUM
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$39.0M–$104.9M after Steam's cut $70.9M–$161.4M before Steam's cut
$44.99
127k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Days Gone
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$32.0M–$86.0M after Steam's cut $58.2M–$132.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldZombies
Just Survive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
77k reviews
Mixed
ZombiesSurvival
Far Cry® Primal
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.2M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
Dead Island Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.5M after Steam's cut $11.8M–$26.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesOpen World

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