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How big is The Brittle Epoch?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 521–846
from 21 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Brittle Epoch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Brittle Epoch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20k–26k
best case 244k (Breakout 13)
Games like The Brittle Epoch

A typical game among these

≈ 20k–26k copies

≈ $54k–$105k after Steam's cut

from ~770 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Breakout 13 at ≈ 186k–302k copies, ≈ $511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 420 reviews in their first month; the range was 61 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Interactive Fiction (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FMV + Interactive Fiction, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Choices Matter + Lore-Rich + Choose Your Own Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$1.99
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ExplorationCRPG
The Heroes Around Me
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Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$152k before Steam's cut
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Breakout 13
2023
Est. copies
≈ 186k–302k
9.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $928k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
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Very Positive
FMVInteractive Fiction
Garage: Bad Dream Adventure
2022
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$53k–$142k after Steam's cut $96k–$219k before Steam's cut
$19.90
390 reviews
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AdventurePoint & Click
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Dating SimVisual Novel
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FMVCinematic
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