How much revenue did Nebel Geisterjäger ~ The First Lamb make?

$31k–$84k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nebel Geisterjäger ~ The First Lamb sell?

Q: How many copies did Nebel Geisterjäger ~ The First Lamb sell?

7k to 12k copies, based on its 287 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–12k; $31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$129k before Steam's cut; from 287 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nebel Geisterjäger ~ The First Lamb and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nebel Geisterjäger ~ The First Lamb's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 140k–429k

best case 3.3M (Mirror)

Games like Nebel Geisterjäger ~ The First Lamb

A typical game among these

≈ 140k–429k copies

≈ $98k–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.1M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 607 reviews in their first month; the range was 107 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Hentai (8 of 8) and NSFW (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $2.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Miss Neko 3 2022	Est. copies ≈ 119k–193k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $98k–$263k after Steam's cut $178k–$404k before Steam's cut	$2.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Mirror 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.1M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$1.99	84k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Swaying Girl 2020	Est. copies ≈ 126k–205k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$142k before Steam's cut	$0.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentMature
Angel Legion 2020	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentMature
Miss Neko 2 2021	Est. copies ≈ 70k–113k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $38k–$103k after Steam's cut $69k–$158k before Steam's cut	$1.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
VR Kanojo / VRカノジョ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 60k–97k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $823k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Winter Memories 2024	Est. copies ≈ 265k–430k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentMature
Action Taimanin 2020	Est. copies ≈ 482k–783k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	19k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity