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How big is Fistful of Frags?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
from 37k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fistful of Frags and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fistful of Frags's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–12k
best case 23k (Soulslinger: Envoy of Death)
Games like Fistful of Frags

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–12k copies

≈ $1k–$101k after Steam's cut

from ~59 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Soulslinger: Envoy of Death at ≈ 17k–28k copies, ≈ $94k–$254k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 504.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (7 of 8) and Arena Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Western + Rogue-lite, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
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$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
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Arena ShooterFPS
Projectile Dysfunction
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$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
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Unforgiven VR
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Moonshine Maniacs - A Wild West Saga
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≈ 2k–3k
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Free
Free
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Arena ShooterFPS
Sheriff Exam
2021
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$762–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
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14 reviews
Mixed
WesternVR
Sky Noon
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
11x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$84k–$226k after Steam's cut $153k–$348k before Steam's cut
$14.99
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Very Positive
ActionIndie
PolyClassic: Wild
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before Steam's cut
$13.99
264 reviews
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Arena ShooterShoot 'Em Up
Soulslinger: Envoy of Death
2025
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$94k–$254k after Steam's cut $172k–$391k before Steam's cut
$19.99
693 reviews
Mixed
WesternRogue-lite

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