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How big is SCP: Bloodwater?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2k–4k
from 89 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SCP: Bloodwater and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SCP: Bloodwater's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2k
best case 170k (Warpips)
Games like SCP: Bloodwater

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–2k copies

≈ $4k–$7k after Steam's cut

from ~51 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Warpips at ≈ 130k–211k copies, ≈ $605k–$1.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 57 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Auto Battler (8 of 8) and Tower Defense (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Auto Battler, priced around $11. The breakout hits carry Tactical + RTS + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Card BattlerCreature Collector
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Tower DefenseReal Time Tactics
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TypingTower Defense
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RTSWargame
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Action RTSWargame
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StrategyTower Defense
Sons of Ra
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Warpips
2022
Est. copies
≈ 130k–211k
103x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$605k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$16.99
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Very Positive
StrategyTower Defense

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