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How many copies did Speed Night sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Speed Night and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Speed Night's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–4.9M
best case 7.4M (Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced)
Games like Speed Night

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–4.9M copies

≈ $13.2M–$86.0M after Steam's cut

from ~110k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced at ≈ 5.7M–9.2M copies, ≈ $46.6M–$125.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 27k reviews in their first month; the range was 31 to 64k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Driving (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

MiSide
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
143k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced
2025
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.2M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.6M–$125.3M after Steam's cut $84.7M–$192.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
228k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Yakuza 0
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAction
Need for Speed™ Heat
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.2M after Steam's cut $134.0M–$304.9M before Steam's cut
$69.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
The Long Drive
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.2M after Steam's cut $13.0M–$29.6M before Steam's cut
$15.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
DrivingOpen World
Just Ride:Apparent Horizon 狂飙:极限视界
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut
$19.99
187 reviews
Mostly Positive
ViolentAction
Peachy Derby
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56 reviews
Very Positive
RacingCasual

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