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How many copies did Ancient Cultivatrix sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$87k before Steam's cut
from 343 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ancient Cultivatrix and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ancient Cultivatrix's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–14k
best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)
Games like Ancient Cultivatrix

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–14k copies

≈ $4k–$31k after Steam's cut

from ~141 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 35 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 129k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (6 of 8) and Action Roguelike (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Action Roguelike, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Indie + Action Roguelike; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Enter the Gungeon
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Bullet HellAction Roguelike
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≈ 6.6M–10.7M
1898x vs typical
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最后的仙门 The last Practice Sect
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