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How many copies did Jewel Match Origins 3 - Camelot Castle Collector's Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 670–1k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 27 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Jewel Match Origins 3 - Camelot Castle Collector's Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Jewel Match Origins 3 - Camelot Castle Collector's Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k
best case 64k (4 Elements)
Games like Jewel Match Origins 3 - Camelot Castle Collector's Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $7k–$9k after Steam's cut

from ~64 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: 4 Elements at ≈ 48k–79k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 7.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hidden Object (8 of 8) and Match 3 (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hidden Object + Match 3. The breakout hits carry Adventure + Fantasy + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Storm Tale 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$9.99
78 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle
Mystika 3 : Awakening of the dragons
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$5.99
75 reviews
Very Positive
CasualHidden Object
Time Gap
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
237 reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayHidden Object
Jewel Match Twilight 3 Collector's Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$9.99
57 reviews
Very Positive
Match 3Hidden Object
Jewel Match Origins - Palais Imperial Collector's Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$9.99
67 reviews
Very Positive
CasualHidden Object
Heart of Moon : The Mask of Seasons
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$5.99
37 reviews
Positive
Match 3Casual
Robin's Island Adventure
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$6.99
60 reviews
Mixed
Match 3Hidden Object
4 Elements
2010
Est. copies
≈ 48k–79k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
766 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle

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