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How big is Necrosphere64?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 992–2k
from 40 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Necrosphere64 and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Necrosphere64's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 50k–148k
best case 239k (Prince of Persia The Lost Crown)
Games like Necrosphere64

A typical game among these

≈ 50k–148k copies

≈ $431k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Prince of Persia The Lost Crown at ≈ 182k–295k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (3 of 3) and Action-Adventure (3 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Exploration, priced around $30.
When they shipped
2 of the 3 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
La-Mulana 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$228k–$613k after Steam's cut $414k–$943k before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureMetroidvania
Bō: Path of the Teal Lotus
2024
Est. copies
≈ 43k–71k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$239k–$643k after Steam's cut $435k–$989k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.