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How many copies did Fable Anniversary sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 932k–1.5M
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.1M before Steam's cut
from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fable Anniversary and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fable Anniversary's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.6M
best case 20.7M (The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition)
Games like Fable Anniversary

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.6M copies

≈ $14.7M–$26.7M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies, ≈ $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (8 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Fantasy, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Dragons + Adventure + Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

FINAL FANTASY X/X-2 HD Remaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 986k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.1M–$21.9M after Steam's cut $14.8M–$33.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGTurn-Based Combat
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.8M–$37.2M after Steam's cut $25.2M–$57.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGOpen World
FINAL FANTASY VII
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 754k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
30k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition Deluxe (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 0
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut
$19.99
0 reviews
No user reviews
RPGOpen World
RuneScape ®
2020
Est. copies
≈ 677k–1.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
27k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMMORPG
The Elder Scrolls III: Morrowind® Game of the Year Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGOpen World
Dragon Age: Origins - Ultimate Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$16.4M–$44.2M after Steam's cut $29.9M–$67.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy

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