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How many copies did Central Killing Agency sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$7–$18 after Steam's cut $12–$28 before Steam's cut
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Central Killing Agency and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Central Killing Agency's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 255k–290k
best case 862k (Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game)
Games like Central Killing Agency

A typical game among these

≈ 255k–290k copies

≈ $675k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Clicker (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game at ≈ 657k–1.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Clicker (3 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Clicker. The breakout hits carry Indie + Crafting + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Behind the Frame: The Finest Scenery
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Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
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ExplorationPvE
Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 657k–1.1M
3.3x vs typical
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IdlerClicker
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≈ 298–484
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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CasualSimulation

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