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How big is Of Guards And Thieves?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 242k–393k
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Of Guards And Thieves and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Of Guards And Thieves's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–9.8M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Of Guards And Thieves

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–9.8M copies

≈ $60.2M–$91.2M after Steam's cut

from ~77k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + PvP + Third-Person Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Metro 2033 Redux
2014
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.8M–$117.8M after Steam's cut $79.6M–$181.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
142k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter
theHunter: Call of the Wild™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203k reviews
Very Positive
HuntingOpen World
HITMAN™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
75k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAssassin
Batman™: Arkham Origins
2013
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.8M–$61.3M after Steam's cut $41.5M–$94.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Sniper Elite 4
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.4M–$148.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction
Friday the 13th: The Game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
77k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer

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