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How many copies did Try to survive Today sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
from 82 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Try to survive Today and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Try to survive Today's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 133k–447k
best case 5.5M (Far Cry® 4)
Games like Try to survive Today

A typical game among these

≈ 133k–447k copies

≈ $844k–$5.8M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Far Cry® 4 at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $34.3M–$92.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 36 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (6 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + FPS, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Far Cry® 4
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
8.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.3M–$92.1M after Steam's cut $62.3M–$141.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
74k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Walking Zombie 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 385k–625k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
FPSZombies
EVERSPACE™ 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 326k–529k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.0M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterSpace
Zompiercer
2020
Est. copies
≈ 120k–194k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$657k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessSandbox
The Last Stand: Aftermath
2021
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesSurvival
SULFUR
2024
Est. copies
≈ 259k–421k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
UNDYING - "KINGDOM"
2023
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$258k–$692k after Steam's cut $468k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Story RichMultiple Endings
Tunguska: The Visitation - Final Cut
2021
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$193k–$518k after Steam's cut $350k–$796k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticSurvival

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.