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How many copies did Hirai Nya sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 769–1k
$844–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 31 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hirai Nya and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hirai Nya's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 497–2k
best case 5k (If only I could go home early)
Games like Hirai Nya

A typical game among these

≈ 497–2k copies

≈ $413–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~34 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: If only I could go home early at ≈ 4k–6k copies, ≈ $4k–$12k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 13 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 42.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (8 of 8) and Exploration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + 2D Platformer, priced around $4.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dimensional Animals
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
$8.99
61 reviews
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Metroidvania2D Platformer
Zebulon: A Lost Cat
2024
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$633–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
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Adventure2D Platformer
10mg: You are such a Soft and Round Kitten.
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$2.99
81 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureExploration
Eshe's Wish Adventure
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$68–$183 after Steam's cut $123–$281 before Steam's cut
$1.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Cats2D Platformer
Kitten Hero
2023
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
37 reviews
Positive
ExplorationPrecision Platformer
King Kitty Saves The Animals
2023
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$204–$548 after Steam's cut $371–$843 before Steam's cut
$2.99
10 reviews
Positive
CasualAction-Adventure
If only I could go home early
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$3.99
159 reviews
Very Positive
Exploration2D Platformer
Screw Puzzle Master
2025
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$231–$620 after Steam's cut $420–$954 before Steam's cut
$1.99
17 reviews
Mixed
CasualStrategy

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