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How many copies did Flashcard Hero sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 223–363
$306–$824 after Steam's cut $556–$1k before Steam's cut
from 9 reviews (9 user reviews)
Only 9 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Flashcard Hero and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Flashcard Hero's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 261–553
best case 1k (Baimason's Thing Finder Puzzle)
Games like Flashcard Hero

A typical game among these

≈ 261–553 copies

≈ $427–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~13 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Baimason's Thing Finder Puzzle at ≈ 1k–2k copies, ≈ $2k–$5k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 22 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Education (7 of 8) and Word Game (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hidden Object + Education, priced around $6.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

公考模拟器—数量关系
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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$762–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
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SoftwareSimulation
Baimason's Thing Finder Puzzle
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3.4x vs typical
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Hidden ObjectEducation
易经·占卜
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9 user reviews
CasualSoftware
Captain Cook: Word Puzzle
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Est. revenue
$197–$531 after Steam's cut $359–$817 before Steam's cut
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5 user reviews
ExplorationSpelling
Text Twist Classic
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≈ 322–524
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Mixed
CasualWord Game
The Hurt in Secret
2021
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
1.5x vs typical
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Interactive FictionVisual Novel
飛花令~夏天的綠豆糕 飞花令~夏天的绿豆糕 Recite Poems The Second
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Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
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$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
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2 user reviews
CasualEducation
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Est. copies
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CasualPuzzle

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.