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How many copies did Suika Idle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$61–$164 after Steam's cut $111–$253 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Suika Idle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Suika Idle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 568k–684k
best case 635k (ISLANDERS)
Games like Suika Idle

A typical game among these

≈ 568k–684k copies

≈ $1.2M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ISLANDERS at ≈ 483k–786k copies, ≈ $663k–$1.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 23 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (6 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Building, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Peggle Deluxe
2007
Est. copies
≈ 921k–1.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualPuzzle
Zuma Deluxe
2006
Est. copies
≈ 433k–703k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
ISLANDERS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 483k–786k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$663k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingCity Builder
Tile Tale
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$4.99
51 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyArcade
Terra Nil
2023
Est. copies
≈ 219k–356k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
NatureStrategy
Nakornsampan
2021
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$561 before Steam's cut
$1.99
10 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualStrategy
PAC-MAN™ Championship Edition DX+
2013
Est. copies
≈ 521k–847k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ArcadeRetro
Hidden Islands
2023
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$45k–$121k after Steam's cut $82k–$186k before Steam's cut
$199.99
33 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.