How much revenue did Train Valley make?

$465k–$1.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Train Valley sell?

Q: How many copies did Train Valley sell?

169k to 275k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 169k–275k; $465k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $845k–$1.9M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Train Valley and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Train Valley's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 724k–1.1M

best case 4.9M (Prison Architect)

Games like Train Valley

A typical game among these

≈ 724k–1.1M copies

≈ $6.5M–$13.6M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Prison Architect at ≈ 3.8M–6.1M copies, ≈ $31.0M–$83.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 22k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (7 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Building, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Base-Building + Colony Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Prison Architect 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.1M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $31.0M–$83.3M after Steam's cut $56.3M–$128.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	77k reviews Very Positive	SimulationBuilding
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic 2024	Est. copies ≈ 682k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$31.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	27k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
Empires of the Undergrowth 2024	Est. copies ≈ 470k–764k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	19k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
Necesse 2025	Est. copies ≈ 727k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Automation - The Car Company Tycoon Game 2015	Est. copies ≈ 882k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Management
Going Medieval 2026	Est. copies ≈ 535k–869k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.4M–$11.9M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	22k reviews Very Positive	RPGEarly Access
Cooking Simulator 2019	Est. copies ≈ 568k–923k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	20k reviews Very Positive	SimulationCooking