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How many copies did Spellarium 12 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99–161
$354–$952 after Steam's cut $643–$1k before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Spellarium 12 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spellarium 12's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 98–130
best case 677k (Bejeweled® 3)
Games like Spellarium 12

A typical game among these

≈ 98–130 copies

≈ $490–$502 after Steam's cut

from ~4 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Bejeweled® 3 at ≈ 516k–838k copies, ≈ $708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 2 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mahjong (7 of 8) and Match 3 (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Free to Play + Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Spellarium 5
2024
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$204–$550 after Steam's cut $370–$846 before Steam's cut
$9.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Match 3Hidden Object
Laruaville 13 Match 3 Puzzle
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$265–$715 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before Steam's cut
$12.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Match 3Hidden Object
Lost Lands: Mahjong
2016
Est. copies
≈ 228k–371k
1566x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCasual
Laruaville 12
2022
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$478–$1k after Steam's cut $869–$2k before Steam's cut
$9.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Match 3Hidden Object
Spellarium 8 Match 3 Puzzle
2022
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Match 3Hidden Object
Bejeweled® 3
2010
Est. copies
≈ 516k–838k
2332x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
Laruaville 10 Match 3 Puzzle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Match 3Hidden Object
Laruaville 15
2024
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$265–$715 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before Steam's cut
$12.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Match 3Casual

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