How much revenue did Refunct make?

$701k–$1.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Refunct sell?

Q: How many copies did Refunct sell?

852k to 1.4M copies, based on its 17k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 852k–1.4M; $701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut; from 17k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Refunct and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Refunct's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–109k

best case 3.3M (Mirror's Edge™)

Games like Refunct

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–109k copies

≈ $4k–$607k after Steam's cut

from ~250 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror's Edge™ at ≈ 2.5M–4.0M copies, ≈ $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 21 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 26.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 3D Platformer (7 of 8) and First-Person (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Parkour, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Mirror's Edge™ 2009	Est. copies ≈ 2.5M–4.0M 158x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureParkour
Grow Home 2015	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k 23x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$7.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAdventure
Downward: Enhanced Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19k–32k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $53k–$144k after Steam's cut $97k–$221k before Steam's cut	$9.99	566 reviews Mostly Positive	ParkourFirst-Person
MEANDERS 2018	Est. copies ≈ 12k–20k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut	$2.99	406 reviews Very Positive	Casual3D Platformer
Hatch 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut	$2.99	94 reviews Very Positive	First-PersonIndie
Trigo 2022	Est. copies ≈ 942–2k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $515–$1k after Steam's cut $937–$2k before Steam's cut	$1.99	38 reviews Positive	Precision PlatformerFirst-Person
Gorge 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	88 reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-Platformer3D Platformer
BRUTAL KATANA 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut	$3.99	80 reviews Very Positive	Parkour3D Platformer