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How many copies did The Deed sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 185k–300k
$50k–$135k after Steam's cut $91k–$208k before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Deed and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Deed's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 23k–54k
best case 74k (Just Ignore Them)
Games like The Deed

A typical game among these

≈ 23k–54k copies

≈ $27k–$64k after Steam's cut

from ~608 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Just Ignore Them at ≈ 56k–92k copies, ≈ $62k–$166k after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Crime (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Gore, priced around $4.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2016
Est. copies
≈ 41k–66k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$92k before Steam's cut
$1.99
981 reviews
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AdventureRPGMaker
Red Bow
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$49k before Steam's cut
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350 reviews
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AdventureIndie
Crown Champion: Legends of the Arena
2016
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before Steam's cut
$4.99
578 reviews
Mostly Positive
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Silver Creek Falls: Chapter 1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
637 reviews
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The Deed II
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$4.99
154 reviews
Very Positive
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Major\Minor
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Visual NovelCrime
Just Ignore Them
2017
Est. copies
≈ 56k–92k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$62k–$166k after Steam's cut $112k–$256k before Steam's cut
$3.99
2k reviews
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The Deed: Dynasty
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$35k–$95k after Steam's cut $64k–$146k before Steam's cut
$2.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureCrime

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.