How much revenue did Little Nightmares make?

$22.0M–$59.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Little Nightmares sell?

Q: How many copies did Little Nightmares sell?

4.0M to 6.5M copies, based on its 117k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.0M–6.5M; $22.0M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.2M before the cut; from 117k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Little Nightmares out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Little Nightmares's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24.5M–33.9M

best case 40.5M (Wallpaper Engine)

Games like Little Nightmares

The middle of these games

≈ 24.5M–33.9M copies

≈ $74.6M–$233.9M after Steam's cut

from ~596k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.9M–50.1M copies, ≈ $42.3M–$113.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on First-Person (3 of 4) and Horror (3 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.7M–33.6M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut	$19.99	681k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 30.9M–50.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.3M–$113.8M after Steam's cut $77.0M–$175.1M before the cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.2M–39.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $166.0M–$446.3M after Steam's cut $301.8M–$686.6M before the cut	$24.99	495k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
Lethal Company 2023	Est. copies ≈ 12.7M–20.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$143.9M before the cut	$9.99	511k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Online Co-OpHorror