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How many copies did Starbase sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 168k–273k
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Starbase and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Starbase's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–5.3M
best case 105.1M (Garry's Mod)
Games like Starbase

A typical game among these

≈ 4.5M–5.3M copies

≈ $49.0M–$66.5M after Steam's cut

from ~117k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 80.0M–130.1M copies, ≈ $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Building (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Building, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Building; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Trove
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
93k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
Green Hell
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.4M–$54.8M after Steam's cut $37.0M–$84.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
103k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Robocraft
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
117k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayRobots
V Rising
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$32.8M–$88.2M after Steam's cut $59.6M–$135.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
137k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Conan Exiles Enhanced
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$39.3M–$105.8M after Steam's cut $71.5M–$162.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
118k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.