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How many copies did Zero Escape: The Nonary Games sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 256k–415k
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Zero Escape: The Nonary Games and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Zero Escape: The Nonary Games's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.1M
best case 3.3M (Mirror)
Games like Zero Escape: The Nonary Games

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–2.1M copies

≈ $6.4M–$18.1M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.1M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Anime (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $2. The breakout hits carry Hentai + NSFW + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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$19.99
39k reviews
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AnimeVisual Novel
LoveChoice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$1.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
RomanceDating Sim
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
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DetectiveVisual Novel
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
Life is Strange 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Very Positive
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The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 982k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalDark Comedy

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