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How many copies did Sapper's bad dream sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 41 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sapper's bad dream and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sapper's bad dream's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 92k–242k
best case 656k (A Game About Digging A Hole™)
Games like Sapper's bad dream

A typical game among these

≈ 92k–242k copies

≈ $337k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: A Game About Digging A Hole™ at ≈ 500k–812k copies, ≈ $686k–$1.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 586 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Voxel, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Damned
2014
Est. copies
≈ 215k–350k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
The Classrooms
2022
Est. copies
≈ 81k–131k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$289k–$776k after Steam's cut $525k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessPsychological Horror
The Light Remake
2020
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$53k–$141k after Steam's cut $96k–$218k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Walking SimulatorFirst-Person
A Game About Digging A Hole™
2025
Est. copies
≈ 500k–812k
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$686k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationVoxel
Scanner Sombre
2017
Est. copies
≈ 157k–256k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$303k–$814k after Steam's cut $550k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$6.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationHorror
The Backrooms: Survival
2023
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$77k–$206k after Steam's cut $140k–$318k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Hidden Deep
2022
Est. copies
≈ 127k–206k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$869k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessShooter
The Infected
2020
Est. copies
≈ 174k–283k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$766k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$15.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.