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How many copies did Mind Spheres sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 35k–56k
$47k–$128k after Steam's cut $86k–$196k before Steam's cut
from 832 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mind Spheres and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mind Spheres's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 326–6k
best case 16.5M (Portal)
Games like Mind Spheres

A typical game among these

≈ 326–6k copies

≈ $320–$20k after Steam's cut

from ~22 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Portal at ≈ 12.6M–20.5M copies, ≈ $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 154.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Sports (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Puzzle-Platformer + 3D Platformer + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
9067x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Golf: Hole in One
2023
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$150–$401 after Steam's cut $272–$617 before Steam's cut
$1.99
11 reviews
Positive
SportsGolf
Claw Machine Sim
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$49k before Steam's cut
$6.99
250 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
Ball Blitz!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$183–$494 after Steam's cut $333–$760 before Steam's cut
$2.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
CasualStrategy
Wonderputt Forever
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
$9.99
140 reviews
Very Positive
SportsCasual
Puttler
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before Steam's cut
$7.99
273 reviews
Very Positive
Mini GolfPhysics
Golfing in Aether
2022
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$9.99
22 reviews
Positive
Mini GolfGolf
PePiBo: Peregrino Pinata Bowling
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$440 after Steam's cut $296–$677 before Steam's cut
$7.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CasualSports

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