How much revenue did Hello Neighbor make?

$9.4M–$25.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hello Neighbor sell?

Q: How many copies did Hello Neighbor sell?

1.1M to 1.9M copies, based on its 33k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.1M–1.9M; $9.4M–$25.4M after Steam's cut $17.2M–$39.0M before Steam's cut; from 33k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hello Neighbor and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Hello Neighbor's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 841k–15.6M

best case 31.8M (Dying Light)

Games like Hello Neighbor

A typical game among these

≈ 841k–15.6M copies

≈ $3.9M–$136.2M after Steam's cut

from ~86k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Dying Light at ≈ 24.2M–39.3M copies, ≈ $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (3 of 4) and Open World (3 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Zombies + Survival Horror, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.2M–39.3M 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	496k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
Far Cry® 2008	Est. copies ≈ 750k–1.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
Amnesia: The Bunker 2023	Est. copies ≈ 314k–511k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
Batman™: Arkham Knight 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.8M–12.7M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	160k reviews Very Positive	ActionOpen World