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How many copies did Blazing Beaks sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 76k–123k
$312k–$839k after Steam's cut $567k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blazing Beaks and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blazing Beaks's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 113k–455k
best case 1.3M (Nuclear Throne)
Games like Blazing Beaks

A typical game among these

≈ 113k–455k copies

≈ $557k–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Nuclear Throne at ≈ 967k–1.6M copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 203 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Rogue-lite (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $12.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Brigador: Up-Armored Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 243k–396k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Voidigo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 122k–199k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$168k–$451k after Steam's cut $305k–$694k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising
2018
Est. copies
≈ 398k–647k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterRogue-lite
Relic Hunters Zero: Remix
2015
Est. copies
≈ 330k–536k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
Looter ShooterTwin Stick Shooter
SYNTHETIK 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 87k–141k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$476k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $866k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessRogue-lite
Nuclear Throne
2015
Est. copies
≈ 967k–1.6M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$11.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Greedland
2025
Est. copies
≈ 84k–136k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$300k–$807k after Steam's cut $545k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
West of Dead
2020
Est. copies
≈ 55k–90k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$304k–$817k after Steam's cut $553k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Replay ValueRogue-like

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.