How many copies did Captain Backwater sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 36 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Captain Backwater make?

Captain Backwater is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Captain Backwater?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 1k–2k; from 36 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Captain Backwater and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Captain Backwater's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 423–2k

best case 14k (Sagrada)

Games like Captain Backwater

A typical game among these

≈ 423–2k copies

≈ $891–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~17 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sagrada at ≈ 11k–18k copies, ≈ $30k–$81k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 60.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Board Game (8 of 8) and Match 3 (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Board Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sagrada 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11k–18k 27x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $30k–$81k after Steam's cut $55k–$125k before Steam's cut	$9.99	443 reviews Very Positive	Board GameTabletop
JENTRIX 2022	Est. copies ≈ 422–685 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $927–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$7.99	17 reviews Positive	CasualBoard Game
Cursed House 11 Match 3 Puzzle 2022	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut	$9.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	Match 3Puzzle
Jigsaw Puzzle - Pro Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 403–655 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $553–$1k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut	$4.99	14 reviews Positive	PuzzleRelaxing
Mike's Garden 2024	Est. copies ≈ 397–645 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $654–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$5.99	16 reviews Positive	Board GameMatch 3
Hanoi Puzzles: Solid Match 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$2.99	57 reviews Very Positive	PuzzleMatch 3
Shisensho Solitaire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$1.99	88 reviews Very Positive	SolitairePuzzle
siXide 2024	Est. copies ≈ 74–121 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $61–$164 after Steam's cut $111–$253 before Steam's cut	$2.99	3 reviews 3 user reviews	StrategyPuzzle