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How many copies did Necrobarista sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 37k–60k
$202k–$544k after Steam's cut $368k–$836k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Necrobarista and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Necrobarista's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 402k–1.3M
best case 2.1M (VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action)
Games like Necrobarista

A typical game among these

≈ 402k–1.3M copies

≈ $3.2M–$7.7M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 4) and Visual Novel (4 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Visual Novel, priced around $15.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Doki Doki Literature Club Plus!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 813k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Coffee Talk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 314k–510k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
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13k reviews
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ConversationPixel Graphics
The House in Fata Morgana
2016
Est. copies
≈ 284k–462k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.