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How many copies did Slice of Sea sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–25k
$106k–$286k after Steam's cut $193k–$440k before Steam's cut
from 624 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Slice of Sea and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Slice of Sea's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 285k–322k
best case 941k (Gorogoa)
Games like Slice of Sea

A typical game among these

≈ 285k–322k copies

≈ $1.4M–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Gorogoa at ≈ 717k–1.2M copies, ≈ $3.0M–$7.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 851 reviews in their first month; the range was 321 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Casual + Cozy + Wholesome; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rusty Lake Paradise
2018
Est. copies
≈ 233k–379k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$256k–$687k after Steam's cut $465k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$3.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Botanicula
2012
Est. copies
≈ 424k–690k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualFunny
Wuppo: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Carto
2020
Est. copies
≈ 233k–379k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieCute
TOEM: A Photo Adventure
2021
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CozyWholesome
Gorogoa
2017
Est. copies
≈ 717k–1.2M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleHand-drawn
Thank Goodness You're Here!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 211k–344k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureComedy
Behind the Frame: The Finest Scenery
2021
Est. copies
≈ 192k–312k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$685k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$12.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericSingleplayer

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