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How many copies did Dragon Cliff sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 249k–405k
$685k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dragon Cliff and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dragon Cliff's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12k–32k
best case 490k (Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms)
Games like Dragon Cliff

A typical game among these

≈ 12k–32k copies

≈ $9k–$42k after Steam's cut

from ~484 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms at ≈ 374k–607k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 402 reviews in their first month; the range was 16 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Idler (7 of 8) and Clicker (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dungeons & Dragons + Idler. The breakout hits carry Dungeons & Dragons + Fantasy + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Dungeons & DragonsFree to Play
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