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How many copies did Rise of Liberty sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 54k–87k
$118k–$317k after Steam's cut $214k–$488k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rise of Liberty and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rise of Liberty's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–3.3M
best case 7.7M (Heroes & Generals)
Games like Rise of Liberty

A typical game among these

≈ 3.1M–3.3M copies

≈ $50.7M–$54.2M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Heroes & Generals at ≈ 5.9M–9.6M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + War, priced around $29.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 3 (2011)
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Call of Duty®: Black Ops II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut $62.5M–$142.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerAction
Ravenfield
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
80k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSWar
Heroes & Generals
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayWorld War II
Call of Duty®: WWII
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.8M–$72.0M after Steam's cut $48.7M–$110.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
47k reviews
Mostly Positive
World War IIFPS
Battlefield 4™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$22.4M–$60.1M after Steam's cut $40.7M–$92.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
82k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFPS
Battlefield: Bad Company™ 2
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Very Positive
FPSMultiplayer
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 3 (2011)
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.