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How many copies did SAO Utils: Beta sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 92k–150k
$101k–$272k after Steam's cut $184k–$419k before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SAO Utils: Beta and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SAO Utils: Beta's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 289k–610k
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like SAO Utils: Beta

A typical game among these

≈ 289k–610k copies

≈ $525k–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Software (8 of 8) and Utilities (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Software + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry NSFW; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
192x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
CPUCores :: Maximize Your FPS
2015
Est. copies
≈ 557k–905k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut
$16.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
UtilitiesSoftware
Live2DViewerEX
2021
Est. copies
≈ 92k–149k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$126k–$338k after Steam's cut $229k–$520k before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Animation & ModelingUtilities
SteamVR Performance Test
2016
Est. copies
≈ 220k–358k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRBenchmark
Easy™ eSports
2015
Est. copies
≈ 465k–756k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
UtilitiesFree to Play
Borderless Gaming
2015
Est. copies
≈ 231k–375k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$444k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $807k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
UtilitiesSoftware

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.