How much revenue did Metal Wolf Chaos XD make?

$182k–$488k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Metal Wolf Chaos XD sell?

Q: How many copies did Metal Wolf Chaos XD sell?

26k to 43k copies, based on its 918 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 26k–43k; $182k–$488k after Steam's cut $330k–$752k before Steam's cut; from 918 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Metal Wolf Chaos XD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Metal Wolf Chaos XD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 49k–155k

best case 254k (Lost Planet® 2)

Games like Metal Wolf Chaos XD

A typical game among these

≈ 49k–155k copies

≈ $234k–$502k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Lost Planet® 2 at ≈ 194k–315k copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Cult Classic (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + Mechs.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sam & Max 201: Ice Station Santa 2008	Est. copies ≈ 12k–19k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	187 reviews Very Positive	AdventureCult Classic
Sam & Max: Season Two 2008	Est. copies ≈ 12k–19k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	187 reviews Very Positive	AdventureCult Classic
ZONE OF THE ENDERS THE 2nd RUNNER : M∀RS / アヌビスゾーン・オブ・エンダーズ : マーズ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42k–68k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $345k–$927k after Steam's cut $627k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionMechs
Lost Planet® 2 2010	Est. copies ≈ 194k–315k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Mixed	ActionCo-op
Sam & Max 103: The Mole, the Mob and the Meatball 2007	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	108 reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Sam & Max Hit the Road 2018	Est. copies ≈ 33k–53k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $54k–$145k after Steam's cut $98k–$224k before Steam's cut	$5.99	1k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Point & ClickAdventure
[TDA01] Muv-Luv Unlimited: THE DAY AFTER - Episode 01 REMASTERED 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut	$24.99	93 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAdventure
[TDA02] Muv-Luv Unlimited: THE DAY AFTER - Episode 02 REMASTERED 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$53k before Steam's cut	$24.99	75 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime