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How many copies did Football Manager 2019 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 379k–617k
from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Football Manager 2019 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Football Manager 2019's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.0M
best case 4.9M (EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23)
Games like Football Manager 2019

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–2.0M copies

from ~56k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23 at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and Football (Soccer) (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Sports. The breakout hits carry Controller; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

EA SPORTS™ FIFA 21
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56k reviews
Mostly Positive
Football (American)Football (Soccer)
eFootball™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
119k reviews
Mixed
Football (Soccer)Free to Play
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
150k reviews
Mixed
Football (Soccer)Sports
NBA 2K20
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports
EA SPORTS FC™ 25
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
107k reviews
Mixed
SportsFootball (Soccer)
EA SPORTS FC™ 24
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
111k reviews
Mixed
Football (Soccer)Sports
FIFA 22
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
120k reviews
Very Positive
Football (Soccer)Sports
eFootball PES 2021 SEASON UPDATE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 945k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
38k reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsFootball (Soccer)

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