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How many copies did Last Epoch sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
$28.3M–$76.0M after Steam's cut $51.4M–$116.9M before Steam's cut
from 118k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Last Epoch and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Last Epoch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–5.6M
best case 7.4M (Path of Exile 2)
Games like Last Epoch

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–5.6M copies

≈ $39.3M–$67.5M after Steam's cut

from ~79k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Path of Exile 2 at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (3 of 3) and Hack and Slash (3 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Hack and Slash, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 3 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Path of Exile 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut $84.3M–$191.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
227k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash
Diablo® IV
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$26.8M–$72.1M after Steam's cut $48.8M–$111.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
79k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGHack and Slash
Torchlight II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.8M–$42.6M after Steam's cut $28.8M–$65.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAction RPG

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