How much revenue did Hogwarts Legacy make?

$153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hogwarts Legacy sell?

Q: How many copies did Hogwarts Legacy sell?

9.3M to 15.1M copies, based on its 375k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 9.3M–15.1M; $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut; from 375k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hogwarts Legacy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hogwarts Legacy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–23.5M

best case 57.5M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered)

Games like Hogwarts Legacy

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–23.5M copies

≈ $57.2M–$261.6M after Steam's cut

from ~118k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered at ≈ 43.8M–71.2M copies, ≈ $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Fantasy (8 of 8) and Open World (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009) 2009	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.8M–$37.2M after Steam's cut $25.2M–$57.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGOpen World
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	379k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim 2011	Est. copies ≈ 20.1M–32.6M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.9M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	318k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition Deluxe (2009) 2009	Est. copies ≈ 0 too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut	$19.99	0 reviews No user reviews	RPGOpen World
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	97k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Dragon's Dogma 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $32.1M–$86.3M after Steam's cut $58.3M–$132.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	118k reviews Mixed	Open WorldRPG
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered 2015	Est. copies ≈ 43.8M–71.2M 7.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	898k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.4M–$149.1M after Steam's cut $100.8M–$229.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	117k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction