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How big is Overstep?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 14k–23k
from 492 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Overstep and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Overstep's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17.8M–36.5M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Overstep

A typical game among these

≈ 17.8M–36.5M copies

≈ $95.3M–$203.6M after Steam's cut

from ~493k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
381k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Brawlhalla
2017
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
413k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer

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