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How many copies did Last Day of Rome sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut
from 176 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Last Day of Rome and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Last Day of Rome's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 866k–5.7M
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Last Day of Rome

A typical game among these

≈ 866k–5.7M copies

≈ $22.3M–$58.8M after Steam's cut

from ~88k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 23 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 20k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (8 of 8) and Card Battler (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
GWENT: The Witcher Card Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 690k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
28k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Tactics Greed
2024
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$9.99
29 reviews
Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy
Wars of Cards: ROMA
2023
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $74–$168 before Steam's cut
$0.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Card BattlerStrategy
Roman Wars: Deck Building Game
2021
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
$2.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
DeckbuildingCard Battler
Spartacus Card Game
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before Steam's cut
$4.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
StrategyCard Battler

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