How much revenue did Bakery Simulator make?

$267k–$718k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Bakery Simulator sell?

Q: How many copies did Bakery Simulator sell?

61k to 99k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 61k–99k; $267k–$718k after Steam's cut $486k–$1.1M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bakery Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bakery Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 344k–930k

best case 1.9M (Farming Simulator 25)

Games like Bakery Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 344k–930k copies

≈ $3.1M–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Farming Simulator 25 at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 22k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Management (6 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Farming Sim, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Big Ambitions 2026	Est. copies ≈ 372k–605k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut	$25.99	15k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessManagement
Ravenous Devils 2022	Est. copies ≈ 246k–400k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $338k–$908k after Steam's cut $614k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$4.99	10k reviews Very Positive	ManagementCooking
Farming Simulator 25 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	59k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Farming Sim
Parkitect 2018	Est. copies ≈ 248k–403k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	8k reviews Very Positive	RelaxingLevel Editor
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya 2021	Est. copies ≈ 815k–1.3M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$5.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
F1® Manager 2022 2022	Est. copies ≈ 266k–433k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationStrategy
Turmoil 2016	Est. copies ≈ 673k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$9.9M before Steam's cut	$12.99	16k reviews Very Positive	ManagementMining
Software Inc. 2015	Est. copies ≈ 385k–625k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut	$22.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessManagement