How much revenue did Turmoil make?

$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Turmoil sell?

Q: How many copies did Turmoil sell?

673k to 1.1M copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 673k–1.1M; $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$9.9M before Steam's cut; from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Turmoil and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Turmoil's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 296k–641k

best case 929k (Hydroneer)

Games like Turmoil

A typical game among these

≈ 296k–641k copies

≈ $1.2M–$5.3M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hydroneer at ≈ 708k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Mining (5 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Base-Building + Mining, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Captain of Industry 2022	Est. copies ≈ 291k–473k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingAutomation
(the) Gnorp Apologue 2023	Est. copies ≈ 247k–401k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $475k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $863k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$6.99	10k reviews Very Positive	ClickerIdler
Mr.Mine 2020	Est. copies ≈ 463k–752k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	19k reviews Very Positive	IdlerClicker
Wall World 2023	Est. copies ≈ 316k–513k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $607k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$6.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-liteMining
Moonstone Island 2023	Est. copies ≈ 126k–205k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $694k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Creature CollectorDeckbuilding
CryoFall 2021	Est. copies ≈ 161k–261k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $882k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Mostly Positive	Colony SimCrafting
Gold Mining Simulator 2017	Est. copies ≈ 565k–918k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationMining
Hydroneer 2020	Est. copies ≈ 708k–1.2M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingMining