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How many copies did Moonstone Island sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 126k–205k
$694k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Moonstone Island and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Moonstone Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–72k
best case 152k (Kabuto Park)
Games like Moonstone Island

A typical game among these

≈ 14k–72k copies

≈ $42k–$277k after Steam's cut

from ~436 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 5 similar games are hits.

Best case: Kabuto Park at ≈ 116k–188k copies, ≈ $159k–$426k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 258 reviews in their first month; the range was 75 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Creature Collector (3 of 5) and Auto Battler (2 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Creature Collector + Nature, priced around $5.
When they shipped
4 of the 5 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kabuto Park
2025
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$159k–$426k after Steam's cut $288k–$656k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualCreature Collector
Cat God Ranch
2024
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$150k–$404k after Steam's cut $273k–$621k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerRoguelike Deckbuilder
NEODUEL: Backpack Monsters
2024
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$36k–$96k after Steam's cut $65k–$147k before Steam's cut
$11.99
436 reviews
Very Positive
Resource ManagementRetro
Tower Escape
2023
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut
$7.99
415 reviews
Very Positive
Time Is Honey
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut
$5.99
279 reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorIdler

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