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How many copies did Kabuto Park sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 116k–188k
$159k–$426k after Steam's cut $288k–$656k before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kabuto Park and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kabuto Park's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 74k–276k
best case 1.6M (My Singing Monsters)
Games like Kabuto Park

A typical game among these

≈ 74k–276k copies

≈ $344k–$744k after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Creature Collector (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: My Singing Monsters at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 79 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Creature Collector (4 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Creature Collector + Simulation.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tiny Pasture
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Est. copies
≈ 214k–348k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$353k–$949k after Steam's cut $641k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
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9k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerFarming Sim
100 hidden cats
2021
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
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Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut
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CatsHidden Object
Towers of Aghasba
2024
Est. copies
≈ 51k–83k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$420k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $764k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessCreature Collector
My Singing Monsters
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
50k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorSimulation
Alba: A Wildlife Adventure
2020
Est. copies
≈ 208k–339k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$974k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$16.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualWholesome
Chillquarium
2023
Est. copies
≈ 209k–339k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$344k–$925k after Steam's cut $626k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$5.99
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Very Positive
Creature CollectorIdler
沉默的蟋蟀
2023
Est. copies
≈ 33k–53k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$134k–$360k after Steam's cut $244k–$554k before Steam's cut
$14.99
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Very Positive
Creature CollectorRogue-lite
I commissioned some bees 0
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Hidden ObjectNature

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.