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How many copies did Tiny Pasture sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 214k–348k
$353k–$949k after Steam's cut $641k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tiny Pasture and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tiny Pasture's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 43k–215k
best case 484k (Rusty's Retirement)
Games like Tiny Pasture

A typical game among these

≈ 43k–215k copies

≈ $88k–$607k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rusty's Retirement at ≈ 369k–600k copies, ≈ $709k–$1.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 585 reviews in their first month; the range was 27 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Farming Sim (6 of 8) and Idler (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Farming Sim, priced around $7.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Luna's Fishing Garden
2021
Est. copies
≈ 55k–90k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$122k–$327k after Steam's cut $221k–$504k before Steam's cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
2D PlatformerCollectathon
Farm Together 2
2025
Est. copies
≈ 136k–221k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$971k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$25.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Farming SimAgriculture
My Little Life
2025
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$48k–$129k after Steam's cut $87k–$198k before Steam's cut
$5.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimSimulation
Ropuka's Idle Island
2025
Est. copies
≈ 107k–174k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$118k–$316k after Steam's cut $214k–$486k before Steam's cut
$3.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IdlerRelaxing
Poop Clicker
2022
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$24k before Steam's cut
$0.99
842 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualSimulation
Rusty's Retirement
2024
Est. copies
≈ 369k–600k
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$709k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$6.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IdlerFarming Sim
Plantera 2: Golden Acorn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 34k–56k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$47k–$126k after Steam's cut $86k–$195k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Farming SimIdler
Plantera
2016
Est. copies
≈ 247k–401k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$203k–$545k after Steam's cut $369k–$839k before Steam's cut
$2.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.