How much revenue did CryoFall make?

$882k–$2.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did CryoFall sell?

Q: How many copies did CryoFall sell?

161k to 261k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 161k–261k; $882k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CryoFall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CryoFall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–77k

best case 955k (Necesse)

Games like CryoFall

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–77k copies

≈ $60k–$896k after Steam's cut

from ~944 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is City Builder (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Necesse at ≈ 727k–1.2M copies, ≈ $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 386 reviews in their first month; the range was 119 to 22k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share City Builder (4 of 8) and Colony Sim (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Open World, priced around $15.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Clanfolk 2022	Est. copies ≈ 101k–165k 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $836k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
Necesse 2025	Est. copies ≈ 727k–1.2M 31x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer
Kingdom Wars 2: Definitive Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $36k–$97k after Steam's cut $65k–$149k before Steam's cut	$9.99	455 reviews Mixed	StrategyBuilding
Kaya's Prophecy 2025	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut	$13.99	243 reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Drake Hollow 2020	Est. copies ≈ 45k–73k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $369k–$993k after Steam's cut $672k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldSurvival
Goblin Camp 2026	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut	$19.99	123 reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessResource Management
Stars End 2023	Est. copies ≈ 36k–58k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $195k–$525k after Steam's cut $355k–$808k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mixed	Co-opMassively Multiplayer
First Dwarf 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $65k–$175k after Steam's cut $118k–$269k before Steam's cut	$24.99	381 reviews Mostly Positive	Early Access3D