How much revenue did Kaya's Prophecy make?

$23k–$62k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Kaya's Prophecy sell?

Q: How many copies did Kaya's Prophecy sell?

6k to 10k copies, based on its 243 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–10k; $23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut; from 243 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kaya's Prophecy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kaya's Prophecy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–7.3M

best case 20.7M (Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI)

Games like Kaya's Prophecy

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–7.3M copies

≈ $21.0M–$72.8M after Steam's cut

from ~81k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI at ≈ 15.8M–25.7M copies, ≈ $260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (6 of 8) and City Builder (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Historical, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Northgard: Definitive Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut	$34.99	69k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.7M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut $473.7M–$1077.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	380k reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
They Are Billions 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	52k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingColony Sim
Two Point Hospital 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.8M–$23.6M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	35k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Management
Manor Lords 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	93k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Age of Empires II (Retired) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $35.7M–$96.1M after Steam's cut $65.0M–$147.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	103k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyRTS
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	183k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS