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How many copies did Age of Empires II (Retired) sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
$35.7M–$96.1M after Steam's cut $65.0M–$147.9M before Steam's cut
from 103k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Age of Empires II (Retired) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Age of Empires II (Retired)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–6.3M
best case 6.9M (Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition)
Games like Age of Empires II (Retired)

A typical game among these

≈ 3.1M–6.3M copies

≈ $47.5M–$91.6M after Steam's cut

from ~94k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 19k to 44k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Historical (6 of 8) and Grand Strategy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with RTS + City Builder, priced around $35.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
183k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Europa Universalis IV
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.5M–13.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut $212.0M–$482.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
134k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Crusader Kings III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
143k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyMedieval
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.1M–$70.3M after Steam's cut $47.5M–$108.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Crusader Kings II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
74k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Northgard: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Total War: SHOGUN 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–7.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.4M–$95.2M after Steam's cut $64.4M–$146.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical

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