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How many copies did Zombie Shooter: Ares Virus sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–7k
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
from 185 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Zombie Shooter: Ares Virus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Zombie Shooter: Ares Virus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 123k–149k
best case 8.1M (Z1 Battle Royale)
Games like Zombie Shooter: Ares Virus

A typical game among these

≈ 123k–149k copies

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Z1 Battle Royale at ≈ 6.2M–10.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (6 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World. The breakout hits carry Open World + Survival + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Z1 Battle Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.0M
63x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
202k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
CRSED: Cuisine Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Combat Arms: Reloaded
2018
Est. copies
≈ 92k–150k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayAction
Z1 Battle Royale: Test Server
2016
Est. copies
≈ 107k–174k
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
Massively MultiplayerSurvival
P.A.S.
2018
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
792 reviews
Mixed
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Dying Light: Bad Blood
2018
Est. copies
≈ 116k–189k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionRPG
Modern Combat 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 172k–279k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayFPS
Fear The Wolves
2019
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
Battle RoyaleSurvival

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